Jul 31, 2026
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Read Article Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Philadelphia Phillies will square off with the New York Yankees in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, commencing at 7:20 PM ET.
Cristopher Sánchez (12-4, 2.65 ERA) will start for the Phillies, up against Will Warren (7-4, 4.00 ERA) for the Yankees.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of the Yankees vs. Phillies game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Yankees and Phillies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Phillies a 65.3% chance of beating the Yankees.
According to our model, the Yankees (+1.5) have a 52.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.0% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Phillies odds [7/26/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-114) | -1.5 (+111) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -194 |
| Total | o8.5 (+113) | u8.5 (-117) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Phillies -1.5 | +111 |
| Moneyline | Yankees | +190 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | +113 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Yankees at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 7:20 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
- Time: 7:20 PM ET/4:20PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 65.3% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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