Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Phillies MLB game on July 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 7-4, 4.00 ERA
4
11
Jul 26, 7:20 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 12-4, 2.65 ERA
Jul 26, 7:20 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 4 8 1
Phillies
1 1 4 0 0 5 0 0 X 11 13 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jasson Domínguez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4010012.2500.650
2 B. Rice DH5221101.4001.600
3 R. McMahon PH1000001.0000.000
4 J. Domínguez RF5001001.0000.000
5 A. Volpe SS3021011.6672.083
6 T. Grisham CF4000001.0000.000
7 S. Jones LF0000010.0001.000
8 J. Caballero 2B4000002.0000.000
9 A. Wells C1000001.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5221001.4001.200
2 K. Schwarber DH2211020.5001.100
3 B. Harper 1B4110012.2500.900
4 B. Marsh LF3110011.3330.933
5 A. Bohm 3B4214002.2500.900
6 B. Stott 2B4135101.7502.500
7 J. Realmuto C4000002.0000.000
8 B. De La Cruz RF21200001.0002.000
9 J. Crawford CF3110000.3330.833

Yankees vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees +190, Phillies -194

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 33%
  • Phillies: 67%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 33%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.