Mets vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/10/2026]

The Atlanta Braves will take on the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Truist Park on Monday, starting at 7:15 PM ET.

Bryce Elder (8-6, 3.70 ERA) will get the ball for the Braves, while the Mets are going with Christian Scott (3-3, 3.15 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Braves a slight edge with a 54.1% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers further insights into Monday's Mets vs. Braves matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Braves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Braves, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Braves a 54.1% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 62.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 57.0% chance of going over,.

Mets vs. Braves odds [8/10/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-160) / Braves -1.5 (+156)
• Moneyline: Mets +133, Braves -133

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Braves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -160 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mets @ +133 via Novig
• Total: Over 8.5 @ +104 via Novig

According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mets vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details

Monday's MLB game between the Braves and Mets at Truist Park is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
• Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
• Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
• Venue: Truist Park

Conclusion

We predict the Braves, with a 54.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.