Mets vs. Braves: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Braves MLB game on Monday, August 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Christian Scott 3-3, 3.15 ERA
8
5
Truist Park
Braves
Bryce Elder 8-6, 3.70 ERA
Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 12 0
Braves
2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 5 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Braves
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Mauricio Dubón flies out to right field to Carson Benge.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing LF5110003.2000.600
2 F. Lindor SS5331100.6002.000
3 B. Bichette 3B3111020.3330.933
4 C. Benge RF3100011.0000.400
5 J. Young 1B4122000.5000.900
6 M. Semien 2B5010003.2000.400
7 L. Robert CF1000001.0000.000
8 J. Polanco DH3010010.3330.833
9 F. Alvarez C4020000.5001.000
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Baldwin C5121001.4001.000
2 R. Acuña RF4011011.2500.650
3 M. Olson 1B5110003.2000.400
4 M. Harris CF5120002.4001.000
5 O. Albies 2B2000020.0000.600
6 M. Dubón SS5012000.2000.400
7 A. Riley 3B3110011.3330.833
8 M. Yastrzemski LF1000000.0000.000
9 V. Mederos P0000000.0000.000

Mets vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
  • Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -160), Braves (-1.5, +156)
  • Moneyline: Mets +133, Braves -133
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 45.9%
  • Braves: 54.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 45.9%, while the Braves have a win probability of 54.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Truist Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.