MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Ian Seymour [9/18/2026]

Ian Seymour over 0.5 walks allowed (-237)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 78.8%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Rays (7:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Rays' Ian Seymour over 0.5 walks allowed. A probability of 78.8% gives this play an edge of 8.5% at -237 odds.

Brock Rodden to get a hit (-165)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 70.9%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET)

Brock Rodden’s to get a hit prop shows a 70.9% probability and an 8.6% edge at -165 odds, according to our model.

Cade Povich over 3.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Brewers vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cade Povich over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 68.5% probability and an 8.5% edge at -150.

Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded (-191)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Rays (7:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded, with a 68.5% probability and an edge of 2.9% at -191 odds.

Lazaro Montes over 0.5 bases (-185)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Lazaro Montes over 0.5 bases for Mariners, showing an edge of 2.7% at -185 odds.

Lazaro Montes to get a hit (-165)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 67.6%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET)

Lazaro Montes’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -165 odds, supported by a 67.6% probability according to our model.

Dustin May over 1.5 earned runs (-150)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Brewers vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Dustin May over 1.5 earned runs for Brewers, with a 67.1% probability and a 7.1% edge at -150 odds.

Bryan Woo over 0.5 walks allowed (-172)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Bryan Woo over 0.5 walks allowed, supported by a 67.0% probability at -172 odds and an edge of 3.8%.

Nick Pivetta over 14.5 outs recorded (-152)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Marlins vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on the over 0.5 outs recorded line makes Nick Pivetta a value play in Marlins vs. Padres, supported by a 64.6% probability at -152 odds.

Dylan Cease under 2.5 walks allowed (-122)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Dylan Cease under 2.5 walks allowed here, with a 64.3% probability and 9.3% edge at -122 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, September 18, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:09AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 18, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Ian Seymour, Brock Rodden and Cade Povich. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.