Red Sox vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Rays MLB game on Friday, September 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Starter not available 7-4, 3.33 ERA
4
2
Tropicana Field
Rays
Ian Seymour 9-6, 4.27 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 9 0
Rays
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Chandler Simpson grounds out to second base, Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Nick Sogard.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony LF5123101.4001.400
2 N. Sogard 1B5000002.0000.000
3 M. Gasper DH2010000.5001.000
4 W. Abreu RF5000003.0000.000
5 T. Story SS3110010.3330.833
6 C. Durbin 3B3120000.6671.417
7 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B3000002.0000.000
8 N. Eaton CF3010010.3330.833
9 C. Wong C4010002.2500.500
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3100021.0000.400
2 J. Aranda 1B5011000.2000.600
3 R. Palacios PR0000000.0000.000
4 R. Vilade 2B4010012.2500.650
5 C. Simpson LF5000000.0000.000
6 J. DeLuca CF4000002.0000.000
7 L. Hicks C1000010.0000.500
8 V. Mesa RF3110011.3330.833
9 J. Mateo SS1000001.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Friday, September 18, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (+1.5, -174), Rays (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox +125, Rays -127
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-127/+127)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 47.0%
  • Rays: 53.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 47.0%, while the Rays have a win probability of 53.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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