MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Andrew Painter [9/13/2026]

Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts (-159)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 68.2%
• Game: Phillies vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 68.2% gives this play an edge of 6.8% at -159 odds.

Colt Keith over 0.5 bases (-185)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

Colt Keith’s bases prop shows a 67.2% probability and an 2.3% edge at -185 odds, according to our model.

Colt Keith to get a hit (-155)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Colt Keith to get a hit, with simulations showing a 67.2% probability and a 6.4% edge at -155.

John Peck to get a hit (-154)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on John Peck to get a hit, with a 66.4% probability and an edge of 5.8% at -154 odds.

Zach McKinstry over 0.5 bases (-160)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Zach McKinstry over 0.5 bases for Detroit, showing an edge of 2.8% at -160 odds.

Zach McKinstry to get a hit (-152)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

Zach McKinstry’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 4.0% at -152 odds, supported by a 64.3% probability according to our model.

Jacob Lopez over 4.5 strikeouts (-134)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 64.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Jacob Lopez over 4.5 strikeouts for Athletics, with a 64.0% probability and a 6.8% edge at -134 odds.

Andrew Painter under 5.5 hits allowed (-128)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Phillies vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

The data shows value on Andrew Painter under 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 63.4% probability at -128 odds and an edge of 7.3%.

Brett Callahan to get a hit (-137)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on the to get a hit line makes Brett Callahan a value play in Rockies vs. Tigers, supported by a 63.2% probability at -137 odds.

Logan Webb under 1.5 walks allowed (-135)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Game: Padres vs. Giants (7:20PM ET)

Simulations show value on Logan Webb under 1.5 walks allowed here, with a 62.7% probability and 5.3% edge at -135 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, September 13, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:31AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 13, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Andrew Painter, Colt Keith and John Peck. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.