Orioles vs. Blue Jays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Blue Jays MLB game on Sunday, September 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Trevor Rogers 10-9, 4.15 ERA
1
8
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
Dylan Cease 10-5, 2.40 ERA
Rogers Centre
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 9 0
Blue Jays
0 1 0 0 3 0 0 4 X 8 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Blue Jays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Yohel Pozo grounds out to shortstop. Gunnar Henderson out at second.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Beavers LF4120012.5001.350
2 P. Alonso 1B5031001.6001.200
3 G. Henderson SS2010031.5001.300
4 C. Mayo DH4010013.2500.650
5 Y. Pozo C1000000.0000.000
6 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B4010001.2500.500
7 J. Holliday 2B4000001.0000.000
8 L. Taveras CF4010002.2500.500
9 H. Kjerstad RF1000000.0000.000
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bateman CF3101021.0000.400
2 S. Keys DH0000000.0000.000
3 V. Guerrero 1B5141101.8002.400
4 K. Okamoto 3B3111110.3331.833
5 N. Lukes RF0100010.0001.000
6 E. Clement 2B4000000.0000.000
7 A. Giménez SS4011000.2500.750
8 B. Valenzuela C4110002.2500.500
9 M. Straw LF3100010.0000.250

Orioles vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:37PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -163), Blue Jays (-1.5, +156)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +138, Blue Jays -141
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+117/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 40.3%
  • Blue Jays: 59.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 40.3%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 59.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Blue Jays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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