Astros vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Rays MLB game on Sunday, September 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Astros
Hayden Wesneski 5-1, 3.35 ERA
4
14
Tropicana Field
Rays
Freddy Peralta 8-11, 4.82 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 4 4 1
Rays
3 0 4 2 2 0 3 0 X 14 15 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Allen pops out to Jonathan Aranda.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Allen SS2211110.5002.667
2 N. Velázquez DH2111100.5002.500
3 I. Paredes 3B3112110.3331.833
4 J. Altuve 2B4000000.0000.000
5 Y. Diaz C3000012.0000.250
6 L. Wade 1B2000000.0000.000
7 J. Barrosa CF2010000.5001.500
8 C. Smith RF4000001.0000.000
9 T. Trammell LF3000012.0000.250
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH5221000.4000.800
2 J. Aranda 1B4223212.5002.600
3 R. Vilade 3B1000001.0000.000
4 V. Mesa RF5332001.6001.800
5 C. Simpson LF5112000.2000.400
6 J. DeLuca CF5110001.2000.400
7 R. Palacios 2B4223100.5001.750
8 N. Madrigal SS4120000.5001.000
9 N. Fortes C3112110.3331.833

Astros vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:40PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Astros (+1.5, -178), Rays (-1.5, +174)
  • Moneyline: Astros +120, Rays -117
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-111/+110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Astros: 47.5%
  • Rays: 52.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 47.5%, while the Rays have a win probability of 52.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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