Padres vs. Giants: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Giants MLB game on Sunday, September 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Nick Pivetta 2-2, 3.43 ERA
6
4
Oracle Park
Giants
Logan Webb 8-8, 4.11 ERA
Oracle Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
2 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6 9 2
Giants
0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Giants
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jonah Cox strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF4232001.7501.500
2 S. Song 2B0000000.0000.000
3 M. Machado 3B3112111.3331.833
4 L. Campusano DH4000000.0000.000
5 J. Merrill CF4012001.2500.750
6 X. Bogaerts SS4000002.0000.000
7 J. Cronenworth 1B4010002.2500.500
8 J. Bowen LF1000001.0000.000
9 F. Fermin C2000000.0000.000
Giants Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Basabe 2B2000000.0000.000
2 J. H. Lee RF5000000.0000.000
3 B. Eldridge 1B5021001.4000.800
4 J. Cox CF5010003.2000.400
5 S. Bandura DH3110012.3330.833
6 S. Whitcomb 3B4120000.5001.000
7 D. Cavanaugh C1000011.0000.500
8 T. Hill LF1000011.0000.500
9 C. Koss SS4121001.5001.000

Padres vs. Giants: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:20PM ET
  • Venue: Oracle Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (-1.5, +130), Giants (+1.5, -138)
  • Moneyline: Padres -132, Giants +127
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 53.1%
  • Giants: 46.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 53.1%, while the Giants have a win probability of 46.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Giants in the MLB game at Oracle Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Giants predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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