MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Jacob Misiorowski [8/21/2026]

Jacob Misiorowski under 18.5 outs recorded (-168)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Braves vs. Brewers (4:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski under 18.5 outs recorded. A probability of 67.0% gives this play an edge of 4.3% at -168 odds.

Eduardo Rodriguez under 5.5 strikeouts (-137)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 66.7%
• Game: Reds vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Eduardo Rodriguez’s strikeouts prop shows a 66.7% probability and an 8.9% edge at -137 odds, according to our model.

J.T. Ginn under 17.5 outs recorded (-127)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 65.4%
• Game: Athletics vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on J.T. Ginn under 17.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 65.4% probability and a 9.4% edge at -127.

Reid Detmers under 6.5 strikeouts (-130)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 65.3%
• Game: Angels vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Reid Detmers under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 65.3% probability and an edge of 8.8% at -130 odds.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 7.5 strikeouts (-153)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Pirates vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 7.5 strikeouts for LA Dodgers, showing an edge of 4.8% at -153 odds.

Hayden Wesneski over 1.5 earned runs (-164)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Athletics vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Hayden Wesneski’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 3.0% at -164 odds, supported by a 65.1% probability according to our model.

Ryan Gusto over 1.5 earned runs (-137)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Nationals vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Ryan Gusto over 1.5 earned runs for Miami, with a 63.7% probability and a 5.9% edge at -137 odds.

Logan Webb over 4.5 strikeouts (-115)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Giants vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Logan Webb over 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 63.1% probability at -115 odds and an edge of 9.6%.

Esteury Ruiz to get a hit (-137)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 60.2%
• Game: Nationals vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)

A 2.4% edge on the to get a hit line makes Esteury Ruiz a value play in Nationals vs. Marlins, supported by a 60.2% probability at -137 odds.

Owen Caissie to get a hit (-130)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 60.0%
• Game: Nationals vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Owen Caissie to get a hit here, with a 60.0% probability and 3.5% edge at -130 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, August 21, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:59AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 21, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jacob Misiorowski, Eduardo Rodriguez and J.T. Ginn. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.