MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Janson Junk [8/17/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 17, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Janson Junk, Mason Barnett and Walker Buehler.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including White Sox vs. Cubs and Dodgers vs. Rockies—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Monday, 8/17
Sourced from 80+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 17, ranked by probability.
Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed (-134)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 66.7%
- Game: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
Our model has found value on Miami's Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed. A probability of 66.7% gives this play an edge of 9.4% at -134 odds.
Mason Barnett over 4.5 hits allowed (-151)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 65.9%
- Game: Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Mason Barnett’s hits allowed prop shows a 65.9% probability and an 5.7% edge at -151 odds, according to our model.
Walker Buehler over 3.5 strikeouts (-146)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Game: Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Walker Buehler over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.0% probability and a 3.7% edge at -146.
Freddie Freeman over 1.5 bases (-142)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Freddie Freeman over 1.5 bases, with a 63.0% probability and an edge of 4.3% at -142 odds.
Walker Buehler over 4.5 hits allowed (-141)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Game: Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Walker Buehler over 4.5 hits allowed for San Diego, showing an edge of 3.9% at -141 odds.
Mookie Betts over 1.5 bases (-110)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 62.2%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Mookie Betts’s bases prop shows an edge of 9.8% at -110 odds, supported by a 62.2% probability according to our model.
Carmen Mlodzinski over 1.5 earned runs (-132)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Game: Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Carmen Mlodzinski over 1.5 earned runs for Pittsburgh, with a 61.9% probability and a 5.0% edge at -132 odds.
Kaelen Culpepper to get a hit (-136)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 60.0%
- Game: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Kaelen Culpepper to get a hit, supported by a 60.0% probability at -136 odds and an edge of 2.4%.
Martín Pérez over 3.5 strikeouts (-110)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Game: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
A 7.6% edge on the over 0.5 strikeouts line makes Martín Pérez a value play in Braves vs. Twins, supported by a 59.9% probability at -110 odds.
Tomoyuki Sugano over 3.5 earned runs (-103)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Tomoyuki Sugano over 3.5 earned runs here, with a 59.9% probability and 9.1% edge at -103 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Monday, August 17, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:58AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins vs. Phillies | Janson Junk o5.5 hits allowed | -134 @ DraftKings | 9.4% | 66.7% |
| Athletics vs. Royals | Mason Barnett o4.5 hits allowed | -151 @ DraftKings | 5.7% | 65.9% |
| Padres vs. Mets | Walker Buehler o3.5 strikeouts | -146 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 63.0% |
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Freddie Freeman o1.5 bases | -142 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 63.0% |
| Padres vs. Mets | Walker Buehler o4.5 hits allowed | -141 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 62.4% |
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Mookie Betts o1.5 bases | -110 @ Fanatics | 9.8% | 62.2% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Carmen Mlodzinski o1.5 earned runs | -132 @ DraftKings | 5.0% | 61.9% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Kaelen Culpepper to get a hit | -136 @ DraftKings | 2.4% | 60.0% |
| Braves vs. Twins | Martín Pérez o3.5 strikeouts | -110 @ Fanatics | 7.6% | 59.9% |
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Tomoyuki Sugano o3.5 earned runs | -103 @ DraftKings | 9.1% | 59.9% |
Conclusion
For August 17, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Janson Junk, Mason Barnett and Walker Buehler. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
