Padres vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Mets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 2 | 5 | 0 |
- Padres
- Mets
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 1.417 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 4 | T. France | 1B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 5 | J. Merrill | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | L. Campusano | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | G. Sheets | DH | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 8 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 9 | L. Rengifo | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ewing | LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 2 | F. Lindor | SS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 3 | B. Bichette | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 4 | C. Benge | RF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 5 | L. Robert | CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | J. Young | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | M. Semien | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 8 | C. Pache | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | F. Alvarez | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
Padres vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Monday
- Teams: San Diego Padres vs. NY Mets Mets
- Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
- Time: 7:10PM ET
- Venue: Citi Field
Current betting odds
- Spread: Padres (+1.5, -186), Mets (-1.5, +178)
- Moneyline: Padres +113, Mets -115
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-104/+100)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Padres: 44.3%
- Mets: 55.7%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 44.3%, while the Mets have a win probability of 55.7%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Citi Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Padres vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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