Orioles vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Rays MLB game on Monday, August 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Brandon Young 9-3, 3.33 ERA
6
7
Tropicana Field
Rays
Shane McClanahan 9-6, 3.09 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 1 0 2 3 0 0 0 0 6 14 1
Rays
0 0 1 3 0 0 3 0 X 7 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Leody Taveras strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. O'Neill RF5020001.4000.800
2 P. Alonso DH5121101.4001.400
3 J. Holliday 2B5110001.2000.400
4 C. Mayo 1B5221101.4001.600
5 G. Henderson SS5120001.4001.000
6 D. Beavers PR0000000.0000.000
7 L. Taveras LF1000001.0000.000
8 C. Narváez C2000010.0000.500
9 C. Cowser CF2000000.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3221111.6672.467
2 J. Aranda 1B5121001.4001.000
3 J. Caminero 3B4010001.2500.500
4 J. DeLuca RF10120001.0002.000
5 C. Simpson LF4010000.2500.500
6 N. Fortes C0000000.0000.000
7 C. Mullins CF4010002.2500.500
8 R. Palacios 2B3110010.3330.833
9 T. Walls SS2110000.5001.000

Orioles vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:05PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -150), Rays (-1.5, +147)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +153, Rays -150
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-108/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 40.5%
  • Rays: 59.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 40.5%, while the Rays have a win probability of 59.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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