Marlins vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Phillies MLB game on Monday, August 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Janson Junk 6-7, 4.41 ERA
5
6
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 15-4, 2.54 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 5 14 1
Phillies
0 0 2 0 0 2 1 1 X 6 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Leo Jiménez hits into a force out to second base. Otto Lopez out at second.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF2000001.0000.000
2 H. Hernández LF4000012.0000.200
3 X. Edwards 2B5220001.4000.800
4 A. Ramírez DH4120010.5001.350
5 O. Lopez SS4121011.5001.100
6 J. Sanoja 3B5022000.4001.000
7 L. Jiménez 1B4010012.2500.650
8 G. Conine RF4011001.2500.500
9 B. Navarreto C4121101.5001.750
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4011002.2500.450
2 T. Turner SS4111000.2500.650
3 B. De La Cruz RF0000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B5011000.2000.400
5 A. Bohm 1B4111000.2500.650
6 B. Stott 3B3110020.3330.933
7 B. Marsh LF3000000.0000.000
8 J. Realmuto C2110020.5001.250
9 D. Hill CF10120101.0002.000

Marlins vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (+1.5, +113), Phillies (-1.5, -115)
  • Moneyline: Marlins +232, Phillies -233
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+104/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 31.0%
  • Phillies: 69.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 31.0%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 69.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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