White Sox vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the White Sox vs. Cubs MLB game on Monday, August 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
White Sox
Luis Castillo 4-9, 4.96 ERA
5
7
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 8-9, 3.74 ERA
Wrigley Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
White Sox
0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 5 4 2
Cubs
0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 2 7 14 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • White Sox
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Pete Crow-Armstrong homers to right field. Carson Kelly scores.
Quick Box Score
White Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Meidroth 2B5000004.0000.000
2 M. Murakami 1B2200031.0000.600
3 M. Vargas 3B4110012.2500.650
4 A. Benintendi DH2112101.5002.500
5 B. Montgomery RF4010011.2500.650
6 T. Peters CF2000000.0000.000
7 S. Antonacci LF3000001.0000.250
8 L. Acuña SS3000011.0000.250
9 J. Rogers C2000021.0000.500
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5243211.8003.033
2 S. Suzuki RF4211112.2501.400
3 M. Busch 1B5000000.0000.000
4 O. Miller 2B0000000.0000.000
5 I. Happ LF3110010.3330.833
6 N. Hoerner SS5042000.8001.600
7 P. Ramirez 3B4000001.0000.200
8 M. Amaya DH1000001.0000.000
9 C. Kelly C5110000.2000.400

White Sox vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: CHI White Sox White Sox vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:05PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: White Sox (+1.5, -145), Cubs (-1.5, +144)
  • Moneyline: White Sox +146, Cubs -144
  • Total (Over/Under): 8 runs (-110/+105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • White Sox: 40.1%
  • Cubs: 59.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the White Sox a win probability of 40.1%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 59.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the White Sox in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our White Sox vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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