Home run predictions for Thursday include Shohei Ohtani, Max Muncy [8/13/2026]

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 26.0% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 19.9%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 19.5%
• Max Muncy (Dodgers): 18.8%
• Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 18.8%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 18.6%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 18.2%
• Michael Busch (Cubs): 17.3%
• Andy Pages (Dodgers): 17.0%
• Jake Burger (Rangers): 16.8%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.0% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (19.9%) and Kyle Tucker (19.5%).

Max Muncy and Teoscar Hernández are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's home run picks [8/13/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 19.5%
• Odds: +576
• Edge: 4.7%
• Pitching matchup: Shane Drohan
• More game projections: Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction (10:10 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +576 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.7% edge.

With Shane Drohan on the mound for the Brewers, the data supports Tucker as one of Thursday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of six home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 13, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Tucker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Tucker in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.7% edge at +576 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Thursday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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