Guadalajara vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. San Luis Liga MX match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
3
0
Estadio Libertad Financiera
San Luis
Estadio Libertad Financiera
San LuisASL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
A. Sanchez (o.g.) (6')
Soccer ball icon
R. Marin (10')
Soccer ball icon
R. Ledezma (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Ledezma, assisted by R. Marin
    3-0
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces F. Gonzalez
  3. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Perez replaces M. Garcia
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Najera replaces D. Rodriguez
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: L. Rey replaces S. Sandoval
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: K. Castaneda replaces D. Aguirre
  7. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Ledezma replaces H. Camberos
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces A. Sepulveda
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Flores replaces J. Caicedo
  10. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Caicedo (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  11. 33'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. G. Lajud replaces A. Sanchez
  12. 30'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Lucas Esteves replaces A. Duarte
  13. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by A. Sepulveda
    2-0
  14. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sanchez (o.g.)
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. San Luis
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Libertad Financiera

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -125, San Luis +320, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 47.5%
  • San Luis: 28.1%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 San Luis (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.5%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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