Monterrey vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Puebla Liga MX match on August 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Monterrey
4
2
Aug 29, 11:05 PM ET Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Puebla
Aug 29, 11:05 PM ET Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
R. Marin (30')
Soccer ball icon
C. Baltazar (84')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (pen.) (39')
Soccer ball icon
L. Ocampos (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (63')
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S. Canales (67')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Monterrey
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces G. Berterame
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces S. Canales
90'
Yellow Card
R. Chavez (Monterrey) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: F. Ambriz replaces L. Ocampos
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by C. Baltazar
4-2
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces E. Gomez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces P. Gamarra
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by L. Ocampos
4-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces R. Castillo
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by L. Ocampos
3-1
61'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Monterrey) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rodriguez replaces J. Corona
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: G. Arteaga replaces L. Reyes
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces R. Marin
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces F. Moyano
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
2-1
42'
Yellow Card
S. Ramos (Monterrey) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
J. Fedorco (Puebla) cautioned
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales (pen.)
1-1
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by R. Marin, assisted by E. Gomez
0-1

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Monterrey vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey -105, Puebla +310, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 52.4%
  • Puebla: 24.5%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Puebla (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Monterrey vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.4%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Monterrey vs. Puebla, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.