Toluca vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. San Luis Liga MX match on August 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
3
1
Aug 29, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
San Luis
Aug 29, 9:00 PM ET Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez (San Luis Potosí)
San LuisASL
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
R. Najera (65')
Soccer ball icon
A. Vega (29')
Soccer ball icon
R. Torres (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
R. Morales (61')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toluca
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Aguila (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces A. Vega
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Arce replaces F. Romero
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces M. Klimowicz
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces J. Angulo
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces Yan Phillipe
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: F. Barajas replaces R. Najera
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Guillen replaces Juanpe
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Najera, assisted by S. Salles-Lamonge
3-1
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by R. Morales
3-0
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces Paulinho
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: D. Barbosa replaces S. Simon
47'
Yellow Card
F. Romero (Toluca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Suarez replaces R. Torres
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by R. Torres (o.g.)
2-0
44'
Yellow Card
Yan Phillipe (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
Joao Pedro Galvao (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
Juanpe (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by A. Vega, assisted by N. Castro
1-0
20'
Yellow Card
A. Vega (Toluca) cautioned

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Toluca vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. San Luis
  • Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toluca -185, San Luis +450, draw +340

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toluca: 54.9%
  • San Luis: 23.6%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toluca 2-1 San Luis (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toluca vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.9%.

The most likely correct score is Toluca 2-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Toluca vs. San Luis, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.