Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
0
Pachuca
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (6')
Red Card icon
S. Rondon (90')
Red Card icon
U. Antuna (5')
Soccer ball icon
R. Morales (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: D. Mendez replaces Kenedy
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Rondon (Pachuca) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Red Card
    S. Rondon (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces R. Morales
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Rivas replaces A. Angulo
  6. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces J. Carrillo
  7. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: Juninho replaces R. Lopez
  8. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: E. Montiel replaces O. Idrissi
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: T. Leone replaces Nathan Silva
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces A. Dominguez
  11. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales (pen.)
    2-0
  12. 34'
    Yellow Card
    C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
  13. 33'
    Yellow Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  14. 6'
    Yellow Card
    R. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  15. 6'
    Red Card
    B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  16. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by U. Antuna, assisted by R. Morales
    1-0

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +290, Pachuca +100, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 31.9%
  • Pachuca: 42.3%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.3%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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