Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Guadalajara
3
2
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
U. Djurdjevic (88')
Soccer ball icon
R. Chavez (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (18')
Soccer ball icon
J. Castillo (46')
Soccer ball icon
B. Gonzalez (55')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by R. Chavez, assisted by O. Torres
    3-2
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Penalty missed by U. Djurdjevic for Monterrey
  4. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by R. Chavez
    3-1
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Galvez replaces R. de la Rosa
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces L. Orellano
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces O. Govea
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces A. Gonzalez
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces R. Alvarado
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Sepulveda
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Torres replaces F. Ambriz
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: C. Bustos replaces C. Reyes
  15. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Ledezma
    3-0
  16. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by J. Castillo, assisted by B. Gonzalez
    2-0
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
  18. 37'
    Yellow Card
    O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  19. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by A. Sepulveda
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +105, Monterrey +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-142/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 37.0%
  • Monterrey: 37.8%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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