Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
2
0
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
C. Rotondi (17')
Soccer ball icon
A. Palavecino (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  2. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces O. Campos
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces C. Salcedo
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. Palavecino
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces G. Fernandez
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Corona replaces S. Canales
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: U. Djurdjevic replaces L. Ocampos
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: C. Reyes replaces G. Arteaga
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces S. Medina
  11. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by O. Campos
    2-0
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces J. Paradela
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Palavecino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  15. 28'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  16. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi
    1-0
  17. 14'
    Yellow Card
    G. Arteaga (Monterrey) cautioned
  18. 11'
    Penalty missed by J. Paradela for Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +160, Monterrey +160, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 36.6%
  • Monterrey: 38.5%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Monterrey (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.5%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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