Cruz Azul vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Juarez Liga MX match on January 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
4
3
Juarez
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
O. Estupinan (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme Castilho (81')
Soccer ball icon
O. Estupinan (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Palavecino (1')
Soccer ball icon
J. Paradela (7')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rotondi (39')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (51')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (83')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan
    4-3
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces A. Morales
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Sanchez replaces O. Campos
  5. 83'
    Red Card
    G. Fernandez (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by Guilherme Castilho
    4-2
  7. 79'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces R. Pizarro
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin replaces Ricardinho
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: J. Manriquez replaces J. Aquino
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: E. Lopez replaces A. Mayorga
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
  13. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rodriguez
  14. 62'
    Penalty missed by C. Rotondi for Cruz Azul
  15. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Paradela
    4-1
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces H. E. Martinez Yepez
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan (pen.)
    3-1
  18. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by G. Fernandez
    3-0
  19. 22'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  20. 19'
    Yellow Card
    H. E. Martinez Yepez (Juarez) cautioned
  21. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela
    2-0
  22. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by G. Fernandez
    1-0

Cruz Azul vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Juarez
  • Date: Friday, January 30, 2026
  • Time: 10:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +110, Juarez +260, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+102/-124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 49.5%
  • Juarez: 25.1%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Juarez (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.5%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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