Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX match on January 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
1
0
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
R. Morales (23')
Soccer ball icon
A. Angulo (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Joaquim (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Angulo (UNAM Pumas) sent off for a second yellow card
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    A. Angulo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: I. Lopez replaces J. Sanchez
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: Juninho replaces R. Morales
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Lopez replaces P. Vite
  7. 70'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gignac (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces M. Flores
  9. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Gignac replaces N. Ibanez
  12. 55'
    Yellow Card
    C. Garza (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Lainez replaces U. Antuna
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Correa replaces O. Rodriguez
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  16. 39'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanchez (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  17. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba
    1-0
  18. 21'
    Yellow Card
    A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
  • Time: 10:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +480, Tigres UANL -165, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-102/-120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 18.5%
  • Tigres UANL: 56.7%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 0-1 Tigres UANL (14.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.7%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Tigres UANL.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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