Monterrey vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on January 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
5
1
Jan 16, 10:00 PM ET
Mazatlan
Jan 16, 10:00 PM ET
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
J. Sierra (86')
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J. Corona (8')
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J. Rodriguez (21')
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A. Martial (25')
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G. Berterame (56')
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I. Fimbres (66')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    <0.1%
  • Draw
    <0.1%
  • Monterrey
    >99.9%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Sierra, assisted by G. Lopez
5-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: L. Merolla replaces J. Diaz
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces Y. Barcenas
72'
Yellow Card
B. Rubio (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Rubio replaces Dudu
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces G. Berterame
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by I. Fimbres, assisted by A. Martial
5-0
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces O. Torres
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: F. Ambriz replaces S. Canales
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by A. Martial
4-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Godinez replaces I. Gonzalez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Ocampos replaces J. Corona
45'
Yellow Card
J. Diaz (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: V. Guzman replaces S. Medina
25'
Penalty missed by A. Martial for Monterrey
25'
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Goal scored for Monterrey by A. Martial
3-0
23'
Yellow Card
I. Gonzalez (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
21'
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Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Rodriguez
2-0
17'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Monterrey) cautioned
8'
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Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Corona, assisted by S. Canales
1-0

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Monterrey vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey -190, Mazatlan +500, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+136)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 54.8%
  • Mazatlan: 21.3%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-0 Mazatlan (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Monterrey vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.8%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-0 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Monterrey vs. Mazatlan, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.