Monterrey vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on January 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
5
1
Mazatlan
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
J. Sierra (86')
Soccer ball icon
J. Corona (8')
Soccer ball icon
J. Rodriguez (21')
Soccer ball icon
A. Martial (25')
Soccer ball icon
G. Berterame (56')
Soccer ball icon
I. Fimbres (66')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    <0.1%
  • Draw
    <0.1%
  • Monterrey
    >99.9%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Sierra, assisted by G. Lopez
    5-1
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: L. Merolla replaces J. Diaz
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces Y. Barcenas
  4. 72'
    Yellow Card
    B. Rubio (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Rubio replaces Dudu
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces G. Berterame
  8. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by I. Fimbres, assisted by A. Martial
    5-0
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces O. Torres
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: F. Ambriz replaces S. Canales
  11. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by A. Martial
    4-0
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Godinez replaces I. Gonzalez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Ocampos replaces J. Corona
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Diaz (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  15. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: V. Guzman replaces S. Medina
  16. 25'
    Penalty missed by A. Martial for Monterrey
  17. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by A. Martial
    3-0
  18. 23'
    Yellow Card
    I. Gonzalez (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  19. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Rodriguez
    2-0
  20. 17'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Monterrey) cautioned
  21. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Corona, assisted by S. Canales
    1-0

Monterrey vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey -190, Mazatlan +500, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+136)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 54.8%
  • Mazatlan: 21.3%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-0 Mazatlan (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.8%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-0 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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