Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on November 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
1
3
Pachuca
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
E. Valencia (33')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (40')
Soccer ball icon
Kenedy (55')
Soccer ball icon
P. Vite (65')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Trigos (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: W. Carvalho replaces A. Bautista
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Garcia replaces R. Lopez
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: E. Villasenor replaces J. Caicedo
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Contreras replaces O. Idrissi
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: I. Luna replaces L. Quinones
  7. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by P. Vite, assisted by J. Caicedo
    1-3
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces A. Medina
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces Kenedy
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: J. Cadiz replaces E. Valencia
  11. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy, assisted by O. Idrissi
    0-3
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces S. Lopez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Vite replaces P. Monroy
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    P. Monroy (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  15. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy, assisted by E. Valencia
    0-2
  16. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by E. Valencia, assisted by A. Bautista
    0-1

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +290, Pachuca +105, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+114/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 31.6%
  • Pachuca: 41.3%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca (12.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.3%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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