Necaxa vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on November 7, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
:
1
Mazatlan
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
Fabio Gomes (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
A. Leyva (59')
Red Card icon
R. Monreal (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal
    1-1
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces Fabio Gomes
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Fierro replaces J. Sierra
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces A. Oliveros
  5. 71'
    Yellow Card
    J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: C. Castro replaces J. Esquivel
  7. 68'
    Yellow Card
    C. Calderon (Necaxa) cautioned
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: P. Perez replaces F. Rossano
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces E. Lara
  10. 59'
    Red Card
    A. Leyva (Mazatlan FC) sent off with a straight red card
  11. 49'
    Yellow Card
    M. Lainez (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  12. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes (pen.)
    0-1
  13. 44'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
  14. 38'
    Yellow Card
    R. Meraz (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  15. 36'
    Yellow Card
    B. Colula (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  16. 35'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Diaz replaces L. Merolla
  17. 35'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Zaleta replaces Y. Barcenas
  18. 4'
    Yellow Card
    Fabio Gomes (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

Necaxa vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, November 7, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +100, Mazatlan +250, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-176/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 41.8%
  • Mazatlan: 33.2%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Mazatlan (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.8%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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