Necaxa vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Atlas Liga MX match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

LIGA MX

FINAL

LIGA MX

Necaxa

Sep 27, 7:00 PM ET

Atlas

Sep 27, 7:00 PM ET

AtlasATL

Score Summary

NecaxaNEC

M. E. Garcia (9')

U. Djurdjevic (29')

D. Gonzalez (pen.) (90')

T. Jacob (17')

D. Cambindo (57')

L. Jimenez (90')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Atlas
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Necaxa
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

A. Palavecino (Necaxa) cautioned

90'

A. Ramirez (Atlas) cautioned

90'

Goal scored for Atlas by D. Gonzalez (pen.)

2-3

90'

J. Rojas (Necaxa) cautioned

90'

E. Unsain (Necaxa) cautioned

90'

L. Jimenez (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card

90'

C. Vargas (Atlas) cautioned

79'

I. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned

78'

Substitution for Atlas: J. San Martin replaces A. Mora

78'

Substitution for Atlas: M. Coccaro replaces U. Djurdjevic

76'

S. Hernandez (Atlas) cautioned

68'

Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces D. Cambindo

66'

D. De Buen (Necaxa) cautioned

64'

Substitution for Atlas: E. Aguirre replaces M. E. Garcia

57'

Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo, assisted by F. Rossano

2-2

46'

Substitution for Necaxa: E. Martinez replaces P. Perez

46'

Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces K. Rosero

43'

Substitution for Atlas: A. Ramirez replaces V. H. Rios De Alba

29'

Goal scored for Atlas by U. Djurdjevic, assisted by Gustavo Ferrareis

1-2

21'

Substitution for Necaxa: D. De Buen replaces A. Pena

17'

Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Jacob

1-1

Goal scored for Atlas by M. E. Garcia, assisted by Gustavo Ferrareis

0-1

Necaxa vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Necaxa vs. Atlas
Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Necaxa -110, Atlas +280, draw +275
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Necaxa: 37.3%
Atlas: 38.3%
Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Atlas (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Atlas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.3%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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