Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/17/2026]
Get Pachuca vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Monday.
Pachuca will take on Puebla in Liga MX action at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on Monday, beginning at 11:06 PM ET.
Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner in this Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Our leading predictive model indicates a 62.7% chance of Pachuca winning, a 16.8% chance for Puebla, and a 20.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58.4% chance of going over, with a 54.1% chance that both teams score.
Pachuca vs. Puebla odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Puebla +600, Pachuca -200
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pachuca vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Puebla @ +600 via Bet365
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -140 via DraftKings
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pachuca vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Pachuca win being the most probable:
- Pachuca 2-0 Puebla (10.3% probability)
- Pachuca 1-0 Puebla (10%)
- Pachuca 2-1 Puebla (9.9%)
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.1% chance of both Pachuca and Puebla finding the net and a 45.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Pachuca vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between Pachuca and Puebla at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo is scheduled to begin at 11:06 PM ET.
- Who: Pachuca vs. Puebla
- Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
- Time: 11:06 PM ET/8:06PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 62.7% win probability on Monday, Puebla has a 16.8% win probability, and there is a 20.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
