Sevilla vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Alaves La Liga match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
AlavesALA
J. Sanchez (16')
Red Card icon
D. Sow (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Almeyda (85')
Red Card icon
Joan Jordan (90')
Red Card icon
T. Martinez (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    Joan Jordan (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Mendy (Sevilla) cautioned
  5. 85'
    Red Card
    M. Almeyda (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces C. Alena
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: F. Gattoni replaces L. Agoume
  8. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces A. Adams
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces T. Nianzou
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces N. Maupay
  11. 65'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces D. Sow
  13. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by C. Alena
    1-1
  14. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces C. Azpilicueta
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces A. Blanco
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces D. Suarez
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Perez replaces Calebe
  18. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by D. Sow
    0-1
  19. 16'
    Red Card
    J. Sanchez (Sevilla) sent off for a second yellow card
  20. 2'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned

Sevilla vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +115, Alaves +310, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+148/-184)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 46.7%
  • Alaves: 26.0%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-0 Alaves (13.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Sevilla vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.7%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.