Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
4
Real Madrid
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
G. Garcia (5')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (pen.) (25')
Soccer ball icon
F. Valverde (31')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (pen.) (48')
Soccer ball icon
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Cestero Sancho replaces A. Tchouameni
  3. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces E. Camavinga
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces F. Valverde
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Diaz replaces P. Marin
  6. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Carvajal replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
  7. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Rudiger
  8. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces Y. Herrera
  10. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior (pen.)
    1-4
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces Wesley
  12. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde, assisted by A. Carreras
    1-3
  13. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior (pen.)
    1-2
  14. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
    1-1
  15. 20'
    Yellow Card
    D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) cautioned
  16. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by G. Garcia, assisted by T. Alexander-Arnold
    0-1

Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -250, Real Sociedad +750, draw +460
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 66.5%
  • Real Sociedad: 14.5%
  • Draw: 18.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.5%.

The most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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