Real Sociedad vs. Deportivo La Coruna prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/11/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 58.9% chance of Real Sociedad winning, an 18.8% chance for Deportivo La Coruna, and a 22.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.9% chance of going over., with a 52.2% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Deportivo La Coruna +488, Real Sociedad -160
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-127/+117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Deportivo La Coruna @ +488 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +117 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Deportivo La Coruna to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Real Sociedad win being the most probable:

• Real Sociedad 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna (11% probability)
• Real Sociedad 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna (10.6%)
• Real Sociedad 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna (10.3%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga game between Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna at Anoeta is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:15 AM ET.

• Who: Real Sociedad vs. Deportivo La Coruna
• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
• Venue: Anoeta

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Sociedad has a 58.9% win probability on Sunday, Deportivo La Coruna has an 18.8% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.