Genesis Scottish Open parlay picks at +1600 odds featuring Scottie Scheffler

profile-img
Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade

We've built a PGA ladder parlay with three golfers to place at the Genesis Scottish Open this weekend at +1600 odds.

Golf parlay picks for the Genesis Scottish Open
Will Scottie Scheffler land another Top 5 this weekend at the Genesis Scottish Open?

Golf betting continues this weekend at the Genesis Scottish Open, teeing off on July 9 as the final event before The Open, giving us a full field of elite talent as we prepare for the final major of the year. Along with our best golf bets for the tournament, we're combining the Dimers golf predictions to craft this +1600 placement parlay.

Placement markets are one of the most underrated ways to build a golf parlay, as the margin for error in a placement prop is wider than chasing a winner, especially if you incorporate the market that includes ties.

Our Dimers Pro golf predictions run thousands of simulations across the full tournament, giving us projected placement data for every player in the field, helping pinpoint who stands out among the rest.

🇺🇸 Use promo code USA to get 50% off your first Dimers Pro subscription and utilize all of our golf tools and more!

DimersPro_July4th.jpg

2026 Genesis Scottish Open placement parlay picks at +1600 odds

These picks come directly from the Dimers golf predictions, which offer Top 20, Top 10, Top 5 and outright winner predictions for every PGA tournament, as well as our Head-to-Head matchup tool.

Each of these golfers gets an edge in their respective market, making them a standalone value bet, but those looking for a longshot can take a chance on this +1600 parlay.

Note that we recommend utilizing the Including Ties market in the parlay to avoid dead heat reductions.

It's important to note that the best odds here all come from bet365 sportsbook - if you're betting elsewhere, you're leaving money on the table, as this parlay is only around +1300 on FanDuel, for example. 

Get the best odds and a $150 new-user sign-up bonus at bet365 here.

Leg 1: Scottie Scheffler to finish Top 5 (+150)

Scheffler comes into this week's Genesis Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club as the outright betting favorite at +600 to win, and for good reason, he's the world No. 1 and despite the lone win earlier this year, he's been the most dominant player.

A top-5 finish is arguably a soft ask for him given how deep his floor has been in big fields lately, finishing 4th or better in six of his last eight events, including four runner-ups.

At +150, the sportsbook is pricing in only a 40% chance he finishes top 5, while the model has him at nearly 50% and fair around +100.

Even at the reduced odds for the including ties market (+130), he's an edge.

Leg 2: Tommy Fleetwood to finish Top 10 (+200)

Fleetwood is playing in his backyard essentially, a strong, links-adjacent Renaissance Club test the week before The Open, and he's currently priced around +2200 to win outright, a top four Dimers model contender.

He's shown he can go deep in strong fields with five top-10s this year, though his season has occasionally been held back by shaky putting weeks.

Given the extra motivation of an Open Championship tune-up on home soil, top-10 form seems realistic for the Brit and the gap between market-implied probability (33.3%) and the projection from the Dimers model number (36.6%) is clear.

Though his edge gets slimmer for including ties at +180, it still beats his fair price of +170 with him landing firmly in or Top 10 most likely winners.

Leg 3: Tyrrell Hatton to finish Top 20 (+150)

Hatton has been one of the most consistently high-finishing players in the world over the past year regardless of tour, from majors to LIV to the DP World Tour, and he has a track record of performing well in Scotland.

He has four Top 25s here in his four starts, including a best T6 in 2023 and a top-20 finish is a relatively low bar for a player of his caliber and current form, and looking to build on his solid major performances this year of a T3 at the Masters and T7 at the U.S. Open ahead of the final one next week with The Open

At +150, the market is implying only a 40% shot, while the model puts him just under 50%, nearly a 10% edge, making this the biggest value discrepancy of the three legs and arguably the best individual bet on the card.

Read more on why Hatton makes a great play this week.

Genesis Scottish Open parlay picks at +1600 odds

To recap this parlay, we are riding with the following golfers to finish in their respective spot, including ties:

⛳ Scottie Scheffler Top 5: 49.8% probability

⛳ Tommy Fleetwood Top 10: 36.6% probability

⛳ Tyrrell Hatton Top 20: 49.9% probability

Due to the market including ties, we have slightly reduced odds, but will avoid any dead heat reduction which can be significantly impacted by multiple golfers occupying the same spot.

Dimers' expert golf picks and predictions for 2026 PGA TOUR

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

Dimers and responsible gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

profile-img
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
profile-img
Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Dimers Sports
How to find golf betting value with Dimers' Head-to-Head Matchups tool
Read Article
Dimers Sports
Scottie Scheffler's missed cut: Omen or overreaction? Why Kalshi and Polymarket reveal an edge at The Open
Read Article
Dimers Sports
The Open Championship parlay bet: Best PGA vs. LIV matchup picks
Read Article