Texas vs. Tennessee Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Texas vs. Tennessee NCAAF game on September 26, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas
20
17
Neyland Stadium
Tennessee
Neyland Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Texas
    100%
  • Tennessee
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Texas
7 3 3 7 20
Tennessee
3 0 7 7 17
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Tennessee
Texas
3rd and 11 at the TEX 46
Last Play
F.Brandon steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for T.Smith.

Texas vs. Tennessee: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Texas vs. Tennessee
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Neyland Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Texas favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Texas -190, Tennessee +293

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Texas: 75%
  • Tennessee: 25%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Texas 32-24 Tennessee.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Texas a win probability of 75%, while Tennessee has a win probability of 25%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Texas is more likely to beat Tennessee in CFB action at Neyland Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Texas vs. Tennessee predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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