Appalachian State vs. North Carolina State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Appalachian State vs. North Carolina State NCAAF game on September 26, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL
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Appalachian State
31
41
Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium
North Carolina State
Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Appalachian State
    0%
  • North Carolina State
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Appalachian State
0 10 7 14 31
North Carolina State
14 14 3 10 41
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
North Carolina State
Appalachian State
3rd and 14 at the NCST 20
Last Play
C.Bailey kneels at the NCST 20.

Appalachian State vs. North Carolina State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Appalachian State vs. North Carolina State
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: North Carolina State favored at -13.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 55.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Appalachian State +420, North Carolina State -500

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Appalachian State: 18%
  • North Carolina State: 82%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Appalachian State 22-35 North Carolina State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Appalachian State a win probability of 18%, while North Carolina State has a win probability of 82%.

Summary

According to our analysis, North Carolina State is more likely to beat Appalachian State in CFB action at Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Appalachian State vs. North Carolina State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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