Missouri vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Missouri vs. Mississippi State NCAAF game on September 26, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Missouri
24
31
Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Mississippi State
Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Missouri
    0%
  • Mississippi State
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Missouri
0 10 14 0 24
Mississippi State
14 0 3 14 31
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Mississippi State
Missouri
4th and 12 at the MSST 38
Last Play
A.Simmons steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.Montgomery.

Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Missouri vs. Mississippi State
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mississippi State favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 59.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Missouri +146, Mississippi State -170

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Missouri: 37%
  • Mississippi State: 63%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Missouri 27-31 Mississippi State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Missouri a win probability of 37%, while Mississippi State has a win probability of 63%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Mississippi State is more likely to beat Missouri in CFB action at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Missouri vs. Mississippi State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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