Valparaiso vs. Indiana State prediction: Why Indiana State is favored to win in college football Week 3 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Valparaiso vs. Indiana State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Indiana State a 96.3% chance of defeating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Indiana State winning 39-15. According to our model, Valparaiso (+24.5) has a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 53.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valparaiso +24.5 (-110) / Indiana State -24.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Valparaiso +1600, Indiana State -4699
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Valparaiso +24.5 @ -110 via bet365
• Moneyline: Indiana State @ -4699 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 53.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valparaiso +24.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Indiana State and Valparaiso at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Valparaiso vs. Indiana State
• Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Indiana State, with a 96.3% win probability, will likely beat Valparaiso in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.