Northwestern vs. Indiana prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 94.4% win probability for Indiana at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington.

Indiana and Northwestern will meet in Week 4 college football action at Memorial Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced college football model gives Indiana a slight edge with a 94.4% win probability over Northwestern.
This article offers a complete Northwestern vs. Indiana prediction, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Northwestern vs. Indiana prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives Indiana a 94.4% chance of beating Northwestern. Our predicted final score has Indiana winning 35-14. According to our model, Indiana (-20.5) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 51.9% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Northwestern +20.5 (-104) / Indiana -20.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Northwestern +1100, Indiana -1700
- Total: Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Indiana -20.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Indiana @ -1700 via Caesars
- Total: Over 49.5 @ -110 via Caesars
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Indiana to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Friday's college football game between Indiana and Northwestern at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Northwestern vs. Indiana
- Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Memorial Stadium
College football Week 4 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Indiana, with a 94.4% win probability, will likely beat Northwestern in Friday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



