North Texas vs. UTSA prediction favors North Texas to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of North Texas vs. UTSA, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives North Texas a 52.1% chance of defeating UTSA. Our predicted final score has North Texas winning 37-35. According to our model, UTSA (+2.5) has a 52.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 75.5 points has a 55.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: North Texas -2.5 (-102) / UTSA +2.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: North Texas -122, UTSA +120
• Total: Over/Under 75.5 (-108/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: UTSA +2.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: UTSA @ 46¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 75.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 75.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between UTSA and North Texas at Alamodome is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: North Texas vs. UTSA
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00 PM PT
• Venue: Alamodome

College football Week 11 promos

Make the most of Dimers' North Texas vs. UTSA predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

In Texas or Oklahoma? Check out this exclusive offer where you can secure $25 in Predictions Dollars as soon as either team scores in today's Sooners-Longhorns clash.

Conclusion

We predict North Texas, with a 52.1% win probability, will likely beat UTSA in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.