Citadel vs. VMI prediction favors Citadel to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Citadel vs. VMI, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Citadel an 88.5% chance of beating VMI. Our predicted final score has Citadel winning 32-16. According to our model, VMI (+17.5) has a 55.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 54.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Citadel -17.5 (-104) / VMI +17.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: Citadel -733, VMI +700
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (-113/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: VMI +17.5 @ -120 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Citadel @ 88¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 47.5 @ -113 via DraftKings

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between VMI and Citadel at Alumni Memorial Field at Foster Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Citadel vs. VMI
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30 AM PT
• Venue: Alumni Memorial Field at Foster Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Citadel, with an 88.5% win probability, will likely beat VMI in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.