Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina prediction: Why Coastal Carolina is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Coastal Carolina a 50.3% chance of defeating Arkansas State. Our predicted final score has Coastal Carolina winning 26-25. According to our model, Arkansas State (+1.5) has a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 50.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Arkansas State +1.5 (-102) / Coastal Carolina -1.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Arkansas State +111, Coastal Carolina -111
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-102/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Arkansas State +1.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Arkansas State @ 48¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 52.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Coastal Carolina and Arkansas State at Brooks Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Brooks Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Coastal Carolina, with a 50.3% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.