Kansas State vs. TCU prediction: Why TCU is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Kansas State vs. TCU, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives TCU an 84.0% chance of defeating Kansas State. Our predicted final score has TCU winning 30-15. According to our model, TCU (-12.5) has a 53.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 54.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Kansas State +12.5 (+106) / TCU -12.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Kansas State +426, TCU -441
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (+100/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: TCU -12.5 @ 52¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: TCU @ 82¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 44.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 44.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between TCU and Kansas State at Amon G. Carter Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Kansas State vs. TCU
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00 AM PT
• Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict TCU, with an 84.0% win probability, will likely beat Kansas State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.