Minnesota vs. Penn State prediction: Why Penn State is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Minnesota vs. Penn State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Penn State an 81.5% chance of defeating Minnesota. Our predicted final score has Penn State winning 28-15. According to our model, Penn State (-10.5) has a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 54.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Minnesota +10.5 (+104) / Penn State -10.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Minnesota +376, Penn State -388
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Penn State -10.5 @ 52¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Penn State @ 80¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 42.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Penn State and Minnesota at West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota vs. Penn State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: West Shore Home Field at Beaver Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Penn State, with an 81.5% win probability, will likely beat Minnesota in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.