Abilene Christian vs. Austin Peay prediction: Why Austin Peay is favored to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Abilene Christian vs. Austin Peay, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Austin Peay a 75.2% chance of defeating Abilene Christian. Our predicted final score has Austin Peay winning 31-23. According to our model, Austin Peay (-7.5) has a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Abilene Christian +7.5 (-105) / Austin Peay -7.5 (-115)
• Moneyline: Abilene Christian +252, Austin Peay -257
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Austin Peay -7.5 @ -115 via bet365
• Moneyline: Austin Peay @ 72¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 54.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin Peay to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Austin Peay and Abilene Christian at Fortera Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Abilene Christian vs. Austin Peay
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00 AM PT
• Venue: Fortera Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Austin Peay, with a 75.2% win probability, will likely beat Abilene Christian in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.