Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Arkansas State a 73.4% chance of beating Kennesaw State. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 30-22. According to our model, Arkansas State (-6.5) has a 53.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 50.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Kennesaw State +6.5 (-108) / Arkansas State -6.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Kennesaw State +200, Arkansas State -235
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-105/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Arkansas State -6.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: Arkansas State @ -235 via Caesars
• Total: Over 53.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Arkansas State and Kennesaw State at Centennial Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Kennesaw State vs. Arkansas State
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Arkansas State, with a 73.4% win probability, will likely beat Kennesaw State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.