Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio prediction: Why Miami Ohio is favored to win Week 5 MACtion clash

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Miami Ohio an 86.2% chance of beating Bowling Green. Our predicted final score has Miami Ohio winning 28-16. According to our model, Miami Ohio (-12) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43 points has a 55.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Bowling Green +12 (-112) / Miami Ohio -12 (-110)
• Moneyline: Bowling Green +450, Miami Ohio -500
• Total: Over/Under 43 (-109/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Miami Ohio -12 @ -110 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Miami Ohio @ -500 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 43 @ -109 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 43 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Miami Ohio and Bowling Green at Fred C. Yager Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Bowling Green vs. Miami Ohio
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Fred C. Yager Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Miami Ohio, with an 86.2% win probability, will likely beat Bowling Green in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.