Southern Miss vs. Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Southern Miss
- Texas State
Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Friday
- Teams: Southern Miss vs. Texas State
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Southern Miss (+11.5, -102), Texas State (-11.5, -108)
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points (-110/-105)
- Moneyline: Southern Miss +570, Texas State -750
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Southern Miss: 12.1%
- Texas State: 87.9%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Southern Miss 65 and Texas State 77.
This is a margin of 12 points against a spread of 11.5, and a projected total of 142 points against a market line of 142.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Southern Miss a win probability of 12.1%, while Texas State has a win probability of 87.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Texas State is more likely to beat Southern Miss in the men's college basketball game at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Friday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Southern Miss vs. Texas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.