UC Riverside vs. San Jose State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

San Jose State is favored to beat UC Riverside at Provident Credit Union Event Center on Thursday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our UC Riverside vs. San Jose State prediction gives UC Riverside a 78.0% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 154 points.

UC Riverside vs. San Jose State key predictions

• Predicted score: San Jose State 80-71 UC Riverside
• San Jose State win probability: 78.0%
• UC Riverside win probability: 22.0%
• UC Riverside +8.5 spread: 50.4% cover probability
• Under 154 points: 52.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

UC Riverside vs. San Jose State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• UC Riverside moneyline: +310 (BetRivers)
• San Jose State moneyline: -395 (DraftKings)
• UC Riverside +8.5: -106 (FanDuel)
• San Jose State -8.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 154 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 154 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

UC Riverside vs. San Jose State pick: Under 154 (-110)

Our model makes San Jose State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 154 total points at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 52.7%.

That's a 0.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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UC Riverside vs. San Jose State game details

• Matchup: UC Riverside vs. San Jose State Spartans
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Provident Credit Union Event Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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