Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

South Alabama is favored to beat Loyola Marymount at Pensacola Bay Center on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama prediction gives the Lions a 50.1% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Loyola Marymount to cover at +1.5.

Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama key predictions

• Predicted score: Loyola Marymount 71-71 South Alabama
• South Alabama win probability: 50.1%
• Loyola Marymount win probability: 49.9%
• Loyola Marymount +1.5 spread: 55.8% cover probability
• Over 142.5 points: 50.3% probability

Predicted scores are an average across our simulations and don’t account for overtime.

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Loyola Marymount moneyline: -105 (BetRivers)
• South Alabama moneyline: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Loyola Marymount +1.5: -118 (BetMGM)
• South Alabama -1.5: -102 (BetMGM)
• Over 142.5 points: -106 (FanDuel)
• Under 142.5 points: -107 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama pick: Loyola Marymount +1.5 (-118)

Our model makes South Alabama the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Jaguars to cover the +1.5 spread at -118 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Loyola Marymount an implied cover probability of 54.1%, while our model puts it at 55.8%.

That's a 1.6% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Loyola Marymount vs. South Alabama game details

• Matchup: Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Pensacola Bay Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.